Grim end to 2010 but bright spots ahead

Grant Prior 14 years ago
Share

A toxic mix of bad weather, the Christmas lull and falling public spending resulted in one of the lowest construction starts levels for years during the last quarter of 2010.

Grim figures from Glenigan show starts fell by 29% compared to the same period in 2009.

Glenigan economist James Abraham said: “Extreme weather conditions exacerbated the seasonal lull combined with the slowdown in government investment resulted in one of the lowest monthly total project starts in years.”

Residential projects were 31% down, non-residential 20% down and civil engineering 50% lower than the same period a year ago.

Glenigan is forecasting that construction projects starts will fall by 7% this year compared to 2010 following a 6% year on year increase in the value of starts from 2009 to 2010 that was primarily fuelled by the private sector.

Private housing, industrial, office, retail and civil engineering projects starts are expected to grow this year, while social housing, hotel & leisure, education, health and community & amenity project starts are forecast to decline.

Allan Wilen, economics director, Glenigan said: “The impact of planned Government investment cuts is clear with only rail avoiding the axe and increasing private sector confidence not quite strong enough to counter Government cuts.”

Office developments will see the strongest growth of 41% year on year as developers respond to increasing demand from tenants plus rising capital and rental values, particularly in central London.

Wilen said: “Little new floorspace came onto the market in the recession and the shortage of quality office space will worsen as the recovery gathers momentum.”

Strengthening UK manufacturing, improved investor confidence, rising property capital values and a fall in available floorspace will boost industrial construction project starts by 29% year on year. The sector was hit particularly hard by the financial crisis and economic recession with project starts falling 60 per cent over the last three years.

Retail construction is forecast to increase 4% year on year following a very strong 2010. The major supermarkets will continue to expand throughout 2011 with retailers and landlords expected to increasingly refurbish existing premises in an attempt to increase footfall and consumer spending.

The hotel & leisure sector will see a 24% year on year decline in new construction project starts as the 2012 Olympics related boom seen in 2010 fades with the majority of Games related projects now underway.

Abraham said: “The fall in Government investment since the start of the financial year has already had a negative effect on the value of construction projects starting on site, most strikingly in the health sector.

“Project starts in the education, social housing and community & amenity sectors are all forecast to fall by over 25% year on year having held up relatively well in the Autumn.”

Latest news

Comment: Gateway is acting like a barricade

Contractors left banging their heads on an (unbuilt) brick wall
2 days ago

Final phase of £1.5bn Elephant and Castle revamp hits planning

Get Living submits revised plan for 500 homes and 450-bed student block
3 days ago

Ealing backs final phase of £1.3bn estate rebuild

Friary Park estate rebuild in Acton reaches end stage
2 days ago

Green light for scaled-down Nottingham student tower

Glasshouse Street scheme will deliver 247 student rooms
2 days ago

Aston Villa to revamp North Stand

Club to reuse existing structure rather than complete rebuild
3 days ago

Mace signs ex-ISG director to lead Euro health and tech push

Gary Sweeney to head up healthcare and life sciences consultancy arm
2 days ago

Sir Robert McAlpine claws way back into profit

Firm says return to profit and strong cash balance validates new strategy
3 days ago

Severfield to cut staff by 6% amid pricing pressure

Steelwork contractor warns of extended tighter pricing due to project delays
3 days ago

JRL completes sale of 50% stake to Malaysian giant IJM

Deal boosts balance sheet and kicks starts growth plan
3 days ago

Green light for £100m Liverpool Baltic station build

Enabling highway works to start in the autumn
4 days ago

First live tests for flying construction robots

Drones can lay construction materials at height on site
3 days ago

Three firms land £170m Gentoo Sunderland housing deal

PHS Solutions, Esh and RE:GEN to deliver 10-year home upgrade plan
4 days ago

Gateway gridlock hits build-to-rent delivery as starts nosedive

Build to rent starts plunge 18% in the capital
4 days ago

Call to shift Gateway 2 checks to end building bottleneck

"The current system isn't working but we all want to see safe buildings"
4 days ago

GBN launches £600m bid race for SMR engineer roles

Owner engineers to provide technical and assurance services
4 days ago

Wates hires ex-Homes England chief to head public sector push

Robert Stone to spearhead its public sector and national frameworks strategy
4 days ago

Acheson Construction collapse costs suppliers £8.5m

One frustrated creditor seized a telehandler after contractor went into administration
4 days ago

Dominus wins go-ahead for 173-bed Glasgow scheme

Old Wynd Street job expected to cost around £25m to build
4 days ago

Safety Regulator misses deadline to clear Gateway 2 backlog

Investors pulling out of funding high rise buildings
5 days ago

CITB still sitting on £95m cash pile

Staff numbers jump from 666 to 763 as training body wage bill soars
5 days ago

£500m road surfacing framework market call

NEPO goes out to consultation on north east regional highways deal
5 days ago

Two share £220m Scottish rail repairs and minor works deal

AmcoGiffen and CPMS win civils and building repair deals
5 days ago

Builder wanted for £60m London leisure and flats job

Tower Hamlets aims to replace St George’s Leisure Centre in Shadwell
5 days ago

Contractor confirmed for business park expansion

Roe Developments to start on next phase of Castle Donington scheme
5 days ago

Driver escapes injury as scaffold collapses onto van

Major three-lift scaffold fall blocks north London high street
1 week ago

Gilbert Ash to be sold to staff

£267m turnover contractor to transition to an Employee Ownership Trust
1 week ago

M Group seals biggest-ever deal with Telent takeover

Digital infrastructure specialist deal lifts turnover to £3bn
1 week ago

Aggregates firm Ashville went down owing more than £3m

Debts revealed in Companies House update
1 week ago

Cardo saves 100 jobs at Breyer roofing arm

Private equity-backed Welsh maintenance group continues to expand
2 weeks ago

Excavator knocked off lorry going under bridge

Traffic Commissioner inquiry after accident in south London
1 week ago

Contractor services