Brexit uncertainty stalls housing starts at 165,000 a year

Aaron Morby 6 years ago
Share

Housing starts stagnated at 165,160 last year, despite Government efforts to pump up housing supply to achieve its flaunted building target of 300,000 homes by the mid-2020s.

After steadily growing in recent years from a trough of around 75,000 in 2009, starts have remained at the 165,000 level for two years, according to the Government’s own figures.

The plateau is being blamed on Brexit uncertainty.

And other indicators for new home registrations in the first few months of 2019 suggest starts could have peaked, ending nearly a decade of slow but steady growth.

Last quarter of 2018 recent trend figures recorded private new build starts down 9% from the previous quarter, but completions edged up by 2%. Starts by housing associations are 11% lower compared to the last quarter, but completions are up by 4%.

Total completions matched starts at 165,090, an increase of 1% compared with last year.


Annual starts and completions

The latest figures suggest that the Government will struggle to achieve higher completions unless it can spark local authority housing delivery.


Post war housing completions by tenure

More up-to-date figures for NHBC registrations suggest housing starts could well have peaked.

For the rolling quarter, between December and February, 34,199 new homes registrations fell 2%. During this period private registrations fell -13% against last year while the smaller affordable homes sector rose by just over a third, offsetting much of the sharp private sector fall.

Against the slight decrease overall in registrations, half of the 12 UK regions experienced some growth in this period, including London (+17%), the North West (+11%) and the South East (+9%).

NHBC Chief Executive Steve Wood said: “Continuing the trend from January we are seeing strong numbers in the affordable sector but an understandable drop in the private sector amid the ongoing Brexit uncertainty.

NHBC – UK Registrations by region
England – Regions Dec 18 – Feb 19 YOY change
NORTH EAST 1,040 -24%
NORTH WEST & MERSEYSIDE 4,128 11%
YORKSHIRE & HUMBERSIDE 2,220 -4%
WEST MIDLANDS 3,190 3%
EAST MIDLANDS 2,448 -29%
EASTERN 3,098 -25%
SOUTH WEST 3,043 2%
LONDON 4,594 17%
SOUTH EAST 6,220 9%
TOTAL ENGLAND 29,981 -2%
SCOTLAND 2,201 -1%
WALES 1,075 -12%
NORTHERN IRELAND & ISLE OF MAN 942 52%
TOTAL UK 34,199 -1.5%

Latest news

Morris & Spottiswood acquires part of ISG fit-out division

ISG Cathedral acquisition saves 111 jobs and expands presence across England
9 hours ago

Extra tunnels included in £6bn East West Rail scheme

Government unveils plans for two new tunnels in Cambridgeshire
16 hours ago

Infrastructure to get £80bn boost from public sector pensions

New "megafunds" will invest in UK construction projects
16 hours ago

Bidders wanted for £800m building safety framework

Fusion21 launches renewal of deal across 12 lots
1 day ago

Winchmore wins £6.5m brickwork package on Stratford flats

Latest award from Graham on £69m development
16 hours ago

Motts/Jacobs JV to design £2.5bn West Yorkshire Mass Transit

First construction could begin in 2028
1 day ago

Muse signs landmark deal to redevelop Solihull shopping centre

Mell Square scheme includes 1,600 homes at 6.4ha town centre site
2 days ago

Reds10 raids house builders for two director hires

David Newey and James Bateman join as regional ops directors
2 days ago

Builder killed as telehandler overturns

House builder goes into liquidation before court hearing and £160,000 fine
2 days ago

Balfour Beatty regional MD steps down

Lindsay McGibbon is understood to be exiting for a job in the United States
2 days ago

Firms put on alert for £1.5bn decarbonisation framework

Fusion21 aims to invite bids in January for housing and public buildings retrofit framework
2 days ago

Morgan Sindall aboard for £22m London station roof renewal

Passengers will continue to use Liverpool Street Station while roof works take place above
2 days ago

Utilities contractor turns to Africa for skilled workers

IES Utilities Group recruits its 100th overhead linesman from South Africa and Zimbabwe
2 days ago

McLaren boosts building safety and refurb team

Paul Woodhams promoted to newly created MD role at expanding division
3 days ago

Firms fight to renew places on £450m JV North deal

17 firms face fight to retain places on north west housing consortium list
3 days ago

Subbies get £7m lifeline on ISG Cardiff schools site

Council strikes deal with administrators and appoints emergency interim contractor
3 days ago

United Utilities names water and waste water design consultants

AtkinsRéalis, Jacobs, Stantec, Binnies, Mott MacDonald, RPS, and WSP make line-up
3 days ago

Crown Estate in £1.5bn Cambridge Business Park revamp plan

A phased programme of construction will start in 2026
3 days ago

McLaughlin & Harvey returns to profit

Contractor back in the black and looking forward to another positive year
3 days ago

Graham wins £69m London Stratford flats job

Stratford Mill project will deliver nearly 250 flats
3 days ago

Mace to complete construction of ISG neuroscience centre

Contractor to work with UCL to finish stalled job
4 days ago

BAM finally breaks ground at £60m-plus Yeovil College

Agreed contract price 50% above original estimate on delayed Somerset college job
3 days ago

Forterra trying to pass on NI cost increases

Brick and block giant writing to customers about 2025 price rises
4 days ago

Refurb contractor Troy Central goes into administration

Suffolk based hotel and leisure specialist had a £38m turnover
4 days ago

Former ISG director joins Wates as regional construction MD

Wayne Flannery joins Wates construction board after nearly 20 years at ISG
4 days ago

McLaren strengthens team for £1.1bn York Central scheme

CEG’s Head of Development (North) Karen Stafeckis joins McLaren Property
4 days ago

ISG collapse brings down glazing contractor

All staff made redundant at Vitrine Systems Limited
6 days ago

Wates gets go-ahead for 235 homes at Cardiff school site

City's first well being village approved
4 days ago

Cost of HS2 bat shed hits £100m

Construction costs revealed for Sheephouse Wood Bat Mitigation Structure
6 days ago

JRL close to deal on sale of stake to Far Eastern buyer

Equity sale plan to strengthen balance sheet and improve liquidity
7 days ago

Contractor services