Brexit uncertainty stalls housing starts at 165,000 a year

Aaron Morby 6 years ago
Share

Housing starts stagnated at 165,160 last year, despite Government efforts to pump up housing supply to achieve its flaunted building target of 300,000 homes by the mid-2020s.

After steadily growing in recent years from a trough of around 75,000 in 2009, starts have remained at the 165,000 level for two years, according to the Government’s own figures.

The plateau is being blamed on Brexit uncertainty.

And other indicators for new home registrations in the first few months of 2019 suggest starts could have peaked, ending nearly a decade of slow but steady growth.

Last quarter of 2018 recent trend figures recorded private new build starts down 9% from the previous quarter, but completions edged up by 2%. Starts by housing associations are 11% lower compared to the last quarter, but completions are up by 4%.

Total completions matched starts at 165,090, an increase of 1% compared with last year.


Annual starts and completions

The latest figures suggest that the Government will struggle to achieve higher completions unless it can spark local authority housing delivery.


Post war housing completions by tenure

More up-to-date figures for NHBC registrations suggest housing starts could well have peaked.

For the rolling quarter, between December and February, 34,199 new homes registrations fell 2%. During this period private registrations fell -13% against last year while the smaller affordable homes sector rose by just over a third, offsetting much of the sharp private sector fall.

Against the slight decrease overall in registrations, half of the 12 UK regions experienced some growth in this period, including London (+17%), the North West (+11%) and the South East (+9%).

NHBC Chief Executive Steve Wood said: “Continuing the trend from January we are seeing strong numbers in the affordable sector but an understandable drop in the private sector amid the ongoing Brexit uncertainty.

NHBC – UK Registrations by region
England – Regions Dec 18 – Feb 19 YOY change
NORTH EAST 1,040 -24%
NORTH WEST & MERSEYSIDE 4,128 11%
YORKSHIRE & HUMBERSIDE 2,220 -4%
WEST MIDLANDS 3,190 3%
EAST MIDLANDS 2,448 -29%
EASTERN 3,098 -25%
SOUTH WEST 3,043 2%
LONDON 4,594 17%
SOUTH EAST 6,220 9%
TOTAL ENGLAND 29,981 -2%
SCOTLAND 2,201 -1%
WALES 1,075 -12%
NORTHERN IRELAND & ISLE OF MAN 942 52%
TOTAL UK 34,199 -1.5%

Latest news

Breyer Group battles for survival as rivals circle

Housing maintenance firm fights three winding up petitions in a month
5 hours ago

Careys facing £2.4m claim by developer over demolition cartel

Giant Hong Kong developer claims it was overcharged on Lots Road Power Station job
5 hours ago

Lendlease Construction renamed Bovis

US private equity firm completes £35m purchase of UK contracting business and rebrands
4 hours ago

Multiplex profit drops a third as revenue rises to £780m

Spate of new orders sets contractor up for three years of work
4 hours ago

Galliford Try and Breheny land latest Sizewell C road deals

More infrastructure deals for new nuclear power station
21 hours ago

Worker trapped in collapsed septic tank pit

Contractor and director fined after worker suffers multiple fractures
5 hours ago

Homes England buys stalled Broad Marsh site

Demolition to finally be completed as developer hunt begins
17 hours ago

Vistry go-ahead for 353 homes at Rochester Riverside

Work to start on next phase of Kent town regeneration at end of this year
1 day ago

M&E firm J S Wright collapsed owing £19m

Trade creditors hit for £11.4m by employee-owned Midlands firm
1 day ago

Right to work checks to be extended to self-employed

Government plans crackdown on illegal working and rogue employers
1 day ago

Midlands developer turns to London with £1bn resi schemes trio

SevenCapital plans 1,000 flats in Kensington, Islington and the Isle of Dogs projects
1 day ago

Deck falls off huge scissor lift at Winvic site

Two men seriously injured as platform plunges to the ground
4 days ago

Weston targets Build to Rent with new division

Weston Partnerships signs first deals with asset managers and councils
1 day ago

Bouygues seals deal for £119m Cardiff college campus

Construction to start in June on two new buildings
4 days ago

£140m cash injection to speed-up flood defence schemes

Funding part of £2.65bn investment over the next two years
1 day ago

Bid race starts for £15bn schools framework refresh

DfE throws framework open to more contractors
4 days ago

Berkeley’s £600m Borough Triangle project approved

Controversial scheme features two towers of 38 and 44-storeys
5 days ago

London Mayor calls in blocked 600-bed student scheme

Refused 20-storey London PBSA block may still be built
4 days ago

HG to build 500-bed London Stratford student scheme

Work will start later this year subject to gateway 2 safety approval
5 days ago

Arrest after pedestrian death on construction site

Tragedy during site preparation works for new Wigan car park
4 days ago

British Steel threatens closure of Scunthorpe blast furnaces

Chinese owners say sectional steel and rail supplies will be maintained
5 days ago

Planning green light for Sheffield warehouse site

Existing factories to be demolished in new scheme for Rula Developments
4 days ago

New rail property company to unlock land for 40,000 homes

First four sites released in Newcastle, Cambridge, Manchester, and Nottingham
5 days ago

Drainage specialist Subscan files administration notice

Specialist employing 131 people files court notice
5 days ago

Four win Network Rail £300m engineering design deal

Eastern region deal will include design for Northern Powerhouse Rail
5 days ago

Funding go-ahead for Banwell bypass after fresh cost hike

Galliford Try contract rises £14m to £64m after final design change
5 days ago

Graham wins Southport £75m Marine Lakes Centre

Firm replaces Kier which parted ways with backer Sefton Council
6 days ago

Chancellor unveils extra £2bn capital spend a year

Construction promised a defence dividend in military base and homes upgrade work
6 days ago

McLaren confirms subcontractor team on £135m warehouse job

Work starts on TN2 Gateway site in Kent.
6 days ago

Vistry profits slump after site costs reporting debacle

House builder launches internal whistle-blowing service in business culture review
6 days ago

Contractor services