House builders warn 200,000 homes target unachievable

Aaron Morby 11 years ago
Share

Just 6% of house builders believe that the target of 200,000 homes to be built every year is deliverable.

A survey of over 100 house builders spanning developers of all sizes by estate agent Knight Frank found the industry deeply pessimistic about raising output to the level needed to attack the housing crisis.

The survey also flagged up house builders’ dependence on the Help to Buy scheme.

More than three quarters surveyed said the extension of the scheme will lift development volumes between now and 2020.

More than 40% believed that it will increase the size of schemes undertaken in future.

Most house builders expected build rates will rise by just 10% over the next year. Just a quarter expect an uplift of more than 25% in start volumes.

Grainne Gilmore, Head of UK Research at Knight Frank, said: “The question of whether it is feasible for house builders to plug the housing hole left by the relative lack of government investment remains a primary concern.

“There is no doubt that developers have stepped up activity since the zenith of the financial crisis – official data shows completions in England rose 4.5% over the last year.

“But this still leaves development some way off the levels needed to meet demand across the UK.”

He added: “Our survey suggests however, that development volumes will continue to rise, it is just a question of whether it is going to be enough to meet that 200,000 target.”

The Knight Frank survey shows house builders and developers active in Wales, Scotland and the North East expecting some of the biggest rises, albeit from a low base.

The number of planning permissions for residential units rose most strongly in the Midlands last year.

However, the majority of house builders believe that 200,000 new homes a year is unachievable. Around 30% think that 180,000 is the maximum and only 6% say that exceeding 200,000 on a regular annual basis was achievable.

Gilmore warned: “Next year’s general election throws up some uncertainty about Help to Buy.

“Labour have not commented on their intentions around the equity loan, although they too have criticised the mortgage guarantee.

“Also, finding a suitable unwinding mechanism for the Equity Loan will be paramount in the coming years if a ‘cliff edge’ market distortion is to be avoided in six years’ time.”

Latest news

Comment: Gateway is acting like a barricade

Contractors left banging their heads on an (unbuilt) brick wall
21 hours ago

Final phase of £1.5bn Elephant and Castle revamp hits planning

Get Living submits revised plan for 500 homes and 450-bed student block
2 days ago

Ealing backs final phase of £1.3bn estate rebuild

Friary Park estate rebuild in Acton reaches end stage
20 hours ago

Green light for scaled-down Nottingham student tower

Glasshouse Street scheme will deliver 247 student rooms
21 hours ago

Aston Villa to revamp North Stand

Club to reuse existing structure rather than complete rebuild
2 days ago

Mace signs ex-ISG director to lead Euro health and tech push

Gary Sweeney to head up healthcare and life sciences consultancy arm
20 hours ago

Sir Robert McAlpine claws way back into profit

Firm says return to profit and strong cash balance validates new strategy
2 days ago

Severfield to cut staff by 6% amid pricing pressure

Steelwork contractor warns of extended tighter pricing due to project delays
2 days ago

JRL completes sale of 50% stake to Malaysian giant IJM

Deal boosts balance sheet and kicks starts growth plan
2 days ago

Green light for £100m Liverpool Baltic station build

Enabling highway works to start in the autumn
3 days ago

First live tests for flying construction robots

Drones can lay construction materials at height on site
2 days ago

Three firms land £170m Gentoo Sunderland housing deal

PHS Solutions, Esh and RE:GEN to deliver 10-year home upgrade plan
3 days ago

Gateway gridlock hits build-to-rent delivery as starts nosedive

Build to rent starts plunge 18% in the capital
3 days ago

Call to shift Gateway 2 checks to end building bottleneck

"The current system isn't working but we all want to see safe buildings"
3 days ago

GBN launches £600m bid race for SMR engineer roles

Owner engineers to provide technical and assurance services
3 days ago

Wates hires ex-Homes England chief to head public sector push

Robert Stone to spearhead its public sector and national frameworks strategy
3 days ago

Acheson Construction collapse costs suppliers £8.5m

One frustrated creditor seized a telehandler after contractor went into administration
4 days ago

Dominus wins go-ahead for 173-bed Glasgow scheme

Old Wynd Street job expected to cost around £25m to build
4 days ago

Safety Regulator misses deadline to clear Gateway 2 backlog

Investors pulling out of funding high rise buildings
4 days ago

CITB still sitting on £95m cash pile

Staff numbers jump from 666 to 763 as training body wage bill soars
4 days ago

£500m road surfacing framework market call

NEPO goes out to consultation on north east regional highways deal
4 days ago

Two share £220m Scottish rail repairs and minor works deal

AmcoGiffen and CPMS win civils and building repair deals
4 days ago

Builder wanted for £60m London leisure and flats job

Tower Hamlets aims to replace St George’s Leisure Centre in Shadwell
4 days ago

Contractor confirmed for business park expansion

Roe Developments to start on next phase of Castle Donington scheme
4 days ago

Driver escapes injury as scaffold collapses onto van

Major three-lift scaffold fall blocks north London high street
1 week ago

Gilbert Ash to be sold to staff

£267m turnover contractor to transition to an Employee Ownership Trust
1 week ago

M Group seals biggest-ever deal with Telent takeover

Digital infrastructure specialist deal lifts turnover to £3bn
1 week ago

Aggregates firm Ashville went down owing more than £3m

Debts revealed in Companies House update
1 week ago

Cardo saves 100 jobs at Breyer roofing arm

Private equity-backed Welsh maintenance group continues to expand
1 week ago

Excavator knocked off lorry going under bridge

Traffic Commissioner inquiry after accident in south London
1 week ago

Contractor services