£7bn of construction at risk if Scots vote ‘yes’

Aaron Morby 10 years ago
Share

Over £7 billion of planned construction works could be in jeopardy if Scotland votes for independence next Thursday.

Scotland is presently benefitting from a work boom with more than £38bn of construction projects planned.

But, according to research by construction intelligence specialist Barbour ABI a fifth of these are being funded by investors based outside of Scotland.

Researchers warn that the likelihood of these projects going ahead as intended may hang in the balance depending on next week’s result.

Scotland has a higher prevalence of contracts in the infrastructure, healthcare, education and industrial sectors compared to the wider UK market. It is under-represented in the commercial, retail, residential, hotel and leisure sectors.

Michael Dall, lead economist at Barbour ABI, said:  “There are a large number of projects in the pipeline in the renewable energy sector which is subsidised by the UK-wide renewable obligation, calling these into question.

“If Scotland does choose independence, it’s likely that negotiations between UK and Scottish Governments will be prolonged and complex, posing a potential risk to both public and private sector contracts.

“With the lion’s share of planned works being funded by non-Scottish businesses, the currency question will also have a direct impact.”

Contracts research company Glenigan has seen a sharp fall in the value of projects securing planning approvals so far this year.

The value of  industrial, office and retail projects granted planning dropped by £230m.

The utilities sector has also suffered a notable decline in the first seven months of this year, with the value of approvals falling 26% compared to the same period in 2013 – a £100m deficit.

Allan Wilén, Economics Director at Glenigan, said: “The drop in activity, which follows a relative positive performance in 2013, appears to reflect investors’ temporarily deferring decisions.

“The danger is that these uncertainties persist following the referendum.

“Commenters have raised concerns that firms headquartered outside of Scotland may reassess their investment plans in the event of a yes vote next week.

“However, construction product manufactures supplying the UK market from Scotland face similar pressures.

“In the event of a yes vote it will be important that the key economic issues, from the currency to the operation of energy markets, are quickly resolved in order to provide the private sector with the confidence to press ahead with planned investments.”

Latest news

Winners revealed for £5.4bn electricity grid upgrade

SP Energy Networks unveils 19 winners - full list
2 days ago

Malaysian property giant to buy 50% stake in JRL

IJM Land to buy into diversified £800m turnover south east contractor
2 days ago

Fast-track skills hubs to train 5,000 extra apprentices

Plan for network of 32 skills hubs to rain construction apprentices in half the time
2 days ago

Luxury house builder files administration notice

£31m turnover Octagon Developments Ltd lodges court notice
2 days ago

Morgan Sindall takes on £22m stalled ISG Cardiff school job

Workplan is being drawn up ahead of restart on Penarth school
2 days ago

Walker Modular wins bathroom pod deal on student tower

Sealant-free construction method helps supplier dominate student market
2 days ago

Over £600m awarded for decarbonisation projects – full lists

Over 240 public building energy upgrade projects secure cash
3 days ago

Enabling works to start on £130m Huyton town centre regen

Phase one includes a new council HQ, hotel and 72 flats
3 days ago

Ridge buys rival consultant Jubb

Acquisition will see 100 new staff join Ridge
3 days ago

Grainger build to rent pipeline rises to £1.4bn

Rental specialist buys sites in Sheffield and Cardiff to build 600 rental homes
3 days ago

Kier wins Cambridgeshire County council estate upkeep

Firm will provide building and M&E services to 106 buildings across the county
3 days ago

Louvres and solar shading specialist files for administration

Hampshire based ALPS lodges court notice after 25 years in business
3 days ago

Speedy Hire posts a loss in latest results

Hire giant confident of better performance in next six months
3 days ago

Esh to lead next phase of Riverside Sunderland regeneration

Infrastructure work will allow further development of Sheepfolds area
3 days ago

Green light for £1.3bn Edinburgh coastal town revamp

First phase of Granton Waterfront scheme will see Cruden Homes create a new community
4 days ago

Vistry chief operating officer steps down

Earl Sibley exits as his COO role axed for more direct reporting to CEO
4 days ago

House builder Camstead goes into administration

Work stopped on three current sites
5 days ago

Death of piling legend Roger Bullivant

Industry innovator dies after long illness aged 85
4 days ago

ESS Modular went down owing suppliers £7m

Modular specialist owned by ISG owner Cathexis
4 days ago

Builders back farmers in inheritance tax protest

"A rethink is desperately needed" say National Federation of Builders
4 days ago

Willmott Dixon wins £36m leisure centre upgrade

Work to start on historic Westminster 1930s Grade II listed Seymour Centre
4 days ago

Graham wins £100m Cardiff Crossrail phase 1

Work on route to Cardiff Bay to start before end of next year
5 days ago

Laing O’Rourke appoints new European MD

Peter Lyons to take-up new role in February
6 days ago

Profits dip at Stepnell ahead of demerger

Turnover and secured workloads up ahead of restructure
6 days ago

HS2 green bridge deck takes shape

100m-wide wildlife bridge to carry hedgerows and country lane over HS2
5 days ago

1,000-home Wolverhampton city centre scheme in for planning

ECF and council advance City Centre West build to rent scheme
6 days ago

Sisk clinches £54m North London council HQ revamp

Haringey's iconic Grade II listed civic centre to be brought back into use
6 days ago

Ofgem approves £2.5bn Eastern Green Link 1

Work to start next Spring on cable project from Scotland to the north of England
6 days ago

Anglian Water hunts for £1bn delivery partner

Programme delivery partner wil integrate with client team over 15-year plan
6 days ago

Hadden collapse costs supply chain £6.7m

"Highly unlikely" subcontractors will receive anything for their unpaid invoices
6 days ago

Contractor services